【明報專訊】MAY 20, the day on which Tsai Eng-wen is to deliver her inaugural speech, is drawing near, and more and more have made conjectures about her cross-strait policy and tried to determine what changes it will bring about in the cross-strait situation. Former chairman of the Straits Exchange Foundation Hung Chi-chang (who has just been disenrolled by the New Tide faction of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)) has recently pointed out that, because top leaders of the Communist Party of China having to do with Taiwan have a clearer idea of what the 1992 Consensus connotes and because the Kuomintang has added fuel to the flames, in the wake of May 20, cross-strait relations (which have over the past eight years been in a period of opportunity characterised by peaceful development) will enter a "cold peace" period. [Cross-strait] political, economic and trade dealings will come to a temporary halt.